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Giuliani And The Polls

January 29, 2008

Giuliani Stays Positive In Florida

Most of the polls have Rudy Giuliani in third place among the Republican contenders in Florida's primary today. Could the road to the White House be over for Giuliani? He's not saying so.

CLICK HERE to watch the report

December 26, 2007

Huckabee Ahead in Oklahoma Poll

THE RACE: The presidential race for Republicans, Democrats in Oklahoma, which holds its presidential primary on Feb. 5.

THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS

Mike Huckabee, 29 percent

John McCain, 17 percent

Rudy Giuliani, 11 percent

Mitt Romney, 9 percent

Fred Thompson, 8 percent

Don't know/refused 22 percent

----------

THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 34 percent

John Edwards, 25 percent

Barack Obama, 15 percent

Don't know/refused, 20 percent

----------

OF INTEREST:

Huckabee was favored in a head-to-head matchup with Clinton, 56 percent to 35 percent, in this heavily Republican state. Clinton also trailed McCain (61-31), Romney (51-30), and Giuliani (50-38). Edwards led against Romney (50-37), appeared slightly ahead of Giuliani (48-42) and was about even with Huckabee, but was 11 percentage points behind McCain. Oklahoma has not supported a Democrat in a presidential election since Lyndon Johnson in 1964.

------

The telephone poll, done for the Tulsa World and television station KOTV by Sooner Poll.com, was conducted Dec. 16-19. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points for the 745 registered voters surveyed. For questions asked of 338 Republicans only, the error margin was plus or minus 5.3 percentage points. For questions asked of 380 Democrats only, the error margin was plus or minus 5 percentage points.

November 12, 2007

Poll: Clinton, Giuliani Strong with Connecticut Voters

MyFoxNY.com -- Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, a Democratic candidate for  president, enjoys strong support among Connecticut voters but faces a tough battle against former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, according to an  exclusive FOX TV / Rasmussen Reports poll.

The poll indicates that Clinton would beat some major Republican candidates by wide margins. Clinton would top former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 52 percent to 34 percent. Against Arizona Sen. John McCain, the former First Lady would win 47 percent to 39 percent. And when matched up with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Clinton would garner 53 percent of the vote in Connecticut versus Romney's 34 percent.

                                    
                                                                                                                    
 
            

But should Clinton face Giuliani in the general election, the outcome could go either way. She polls 46 percent to Giuliani's 43 percent, which is within the margin of error and is therefore a statistical tie.

Connecticut voters also indicated that they prefer Clinton over their own state's Democratic candidate, Sen. Christopher Dodd. Fifty-one percent of those surveyed said Dodd should get out of the race now.

The poll also showed that Connecticut voters are unhappy with President Bush, but largely support their own governor even though she is also a Republican: 58 percent of voters rated President Bush's performance as "poor." Gov. Jodi Rell, however, remains popular: 37 percent rated her performance as "good" and 27 percent rated her "excellent."

For complete coverage of the 2008 Presidential race, see the MyFoxNY.com You Decide page.

To read political blogs or to start one of your own, see the MyFoxNY.com Political Blogs page.

To follow news about Hillary Clinton's campaign, see the MyFoxNY.com Clinton Tracker.

To follow news about Rudy Giuliani's campaign, see the MyFoxNY.com Giuliani Tracker.

FOX TV / RASMUSSEN REPORTS
  Survey of 500 likely voters in Connecticut

1. How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is  performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

13%  Excellent
   15% Good
   14% Fair
   58% Poor
   1% Not Sure

2. How do you rate the way that Jodi Rell is performing her role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair,  or poor?
   
   27%  Excellent
   37% Good
   24% Fair
   10% Poor
   2% Not Sure

3. 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       
            

Clinton

            
            

46%

            
            

Clinton

            
            

52%

            
            

Clinton

            
            

47%

            
            

Clinton

            
            

53%

            
            

Giuliani

            
            

43%

            
            

Thompson

            
            

34%

            
            

McCain

            
            

39%

            
            

Romney

            
            

34%

            
            

Other

            
            

9%

            
            

Other

            
            

11%

            
            

Other

            
            

9%

            
            

Other

            
            

10%

            
            

Not sure

            
            

2%

            
            

Not sure

            
            

2%

            
            

Not sure

            
            

4%

            
            

Not sure

            
            

3%

            

4. Favorables  for Presidential Candidates

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           
            

 

            
            

Clinton

            
            

Thompson

            
            

Giuliani

            
            

Romney

            
            

McCain

            
            

Very    Favorable

            
            

23%

            
            

8%

            
            

25%

            
            

13%

            
            

17%

            
            

Somewhat    Favorable

            
            

30%

            
            

39%

            
            

32%

            
            

29%

            
            

36%

            
            

Somewhat    Unfavorable

            
            

15%

            
            

29%

            
            

23%

            
            

29%

            
            

25%

            
            

Very    Unfavorable

            
            

30%

            
            

13%

            
            

16%

            
            

18%

            
            

15%

            
            

Not    sure

            
            

2%

            
            

11%

            
            

4%

            
            

11%

            
            

7%

            

5. If Chris  Dodd received the Democratic nomination for President would you definitely vote  for him, definitely vote against him or would it depend upon whom he is running  against?

23% Definitely vote for him
   29% Definitely vote against him
   43% Depends upon whom he is running against
   5% Not sure

6. Should  Senator Dodd stay in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination or get  out now?

31% He should stay in the race
   51% He should get out now
   18% Not sure

7. Is  Global Warming caused primarily by human activity or by long term planetary  trends?

49% Caused primarily by human activity
   36% Caused by long term planetary trends
   4% Some other reason
   11% Not sure

8. Is the  state of Connecticut doing too much or too little to combat global warming?

9% Too much
   58% Too little
   18% About enough
   15% Not sure

9. On  another topic in the news, how important is it for the state of Connecticut to  overhaul its parole system?

57% Very important
   27% Somewhat important
   8% Not very  important
   1% Not at all  important
   8% Not sure

10. If a  Connecticut police officer pulls someone over for a traffic violation, should  the officer automatically check to see if that person is in the country  legally?

61% Yes
   29% No
   10% Not sure

11. If an  officer finds that a person pulled over for a traffic violation is an illegal  immigrant, should that person be deported?

48% Yes
   30% No
   22% Not sure

12. If police officers are required to check the  immigration status of every person they pull over, does that create the temptation to  discriminate against people based on their name, their accent and the color of  their skin?

35% Yes
   51% No
   14% Not sure

13. Should  undocumented immigrants be allowed to get drivers' licenses?

20% Yes
   69% No
   10% Not sure

14. Which  Democratic Presidential candidate is most likely to win the White House if  nominated?

43% Hillary Clinton
   17% Barack Obama
   12% John Edwards
   28% Not sure

15. Which  Republican Presidential candidate is most likely to win the White House if  nominated?

43% Rudy Giuliani
   13% Mitt Romney
   7% Fred Thompson
   11% John McCain
   27% Not sure

NOTE: Margin  of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

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October 26, 2007

N.J. Poll: Clinton Widens Lead Over Democrats, Beats Giuliani

THE RACE: The presidential primary for Democrats, Republicans in New Jersey.

THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 52 percent

Barack Obama, 21 percent

John Edwards, 8 percent

Joe Biden, 3 percent

Dennis Kucinich, 1 percent

Bill Richardson, 1 percent

THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS

Rudy Giuliani, 54 percent

John McCain, 12 percent

Fred Thompson, 6 percent

Mitt Romney, 6 percent

Mike Huckabee, 3 percent

Tom Tancredo, 2 percent

------

OF INTEREST:

Giuliani's support among Republicans and those who identified themselves as Republican-leaning dropped 7 percent from a similar poll conducted in August. Clinton's support rose 7 percent among Democrats from the August poll. Clinton leads in a general election matchup between her and Giuliani, 49 percent to 39 percent. Her support among women is also climbing -- she leads Giuliani by 18 points among women, compared with the 9-point lead she enjoyed in August. Sixty-eight percent of Clinton's supporters say they are very sure of their vote; 45 percent of Giuliani supporters say they are very sure, but more than half say they may change their minds before the Feb. 5 New Jersey primary.

October 15, 2007

Poll: Clinton Beats Giuliani in New Jersey

MyFoxNY.com -- Sen. Hillary Clinton enjoys very strong support among voters in the Tristate area when it comes to the 2008 presidential election. At the New Jersey polls, Clinton, a Democrat, would defeat  any of the major Republican contenders in the presidential election, according to a Fox TV / Rasmussen Reports poll released Monday.

Clinton, a U.S. senator from New York and the former First Lady, polls well against former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former senator from Tennessee Fred Thompson, Arizona Sen. John McCain, and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

In each match-up, Clinton polls more than 50 percent, according to the survey of 500 likely voters from New Jersey. Against Giuliani, Clinton wins 51 percent to 40 percent. She edges Thompson with 53 percent of the vote to 35 percent. She defeats McCain 52 percent to 36 percent and she trounces Romney 55 percent to 31 percent.

                                    
                                                                                                                    
 
            

The poor showing by these four Republicans could be tied to President Bush's dismal support in the Garden State. The poll showed 51 percent of voters surveyed rate Bush's performance as president as "poor." Nineteen percent said "fair," 15 percent "good" and 14 percent "excellent." More telling with this question is that voters had a definite rating -- 0 percent answered "not sure."

Other notable results from the poll showed that Gov. Jon Corzine, a Democrat and former colleague of Clinton's in the Senate, isn't enjoying strong support.  Thirty-three percent of voters rate his performance as "fair" and a full 30 percent responded "poor."

New Jersey voters also display an almost equal distrust of the two major political parties, perhaps reflecting ongoing and recent political scandals in the state involving arrests for corruption.

When asked which party would they trust more to reduce corruption in government, 33 percent said "Democrats," 29 percent said "Republicans" and 33 percent said "neither" -- that is a statistical tie. Similarly, Democrats and Republicans scored a virtual tie on the question of which party is trusted more to provide property tax relief. Republicans polled at 35 percent and Democrats at 34 percent.

READ MORE

August 27, 2007

Fox 5 | Rasmussen Poll: Clinton Over Giuliani in New York

In thinking about the next Presidential election, voters surveyed in New York overwhelmingly picked Sen. Hillary Clinton over former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, according to a new poll from Fox 5 / Rasmussen Reports.

33% Giuliani
58% Clinton
7% Some other candidate
2% Not sure

And even though Giuliani earned the moniker "America's Mayor" for his actions on and after the 9/11 attacks, New Yorkers said they trust Clinton over Giuliani to handle the War on Terror.

36% Giuliani
44% Clinton
19% Not sure

READ THE FULL POLL REPORT

August 13, 2007

Fox TV/Rasmussen Reports Poll Debuts on Fox 5

Veteran pollster Scott Rasmussen and Fox 5 have teamed up to explore the latest hot topics on the political scene. Linda Schmidt took a look at the first poll results.

WATCH THE REPORT

June 28, 2007

Poll: In Florida, Clinton Leads, Thompson Gains on Giuliani

THE RACE: Support for Republican, Democratic candidates in the presidential races in Florida

THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 38 percent

Barack Obama, 15 percent

Al Gore, 13 percent

John Edwards, 8 percent

------

THE NUMBERS - REPUBLICANS

Rudy Giuliani, 27 percent

Fred Thompson, 21 percent

John McCain, 13 percent

Newt Gingrich, 7 percent

Mitt Romney, 6 percent

--------------

OF INTEREST:

Without Gore, who has not said he is running, the advantage in the Democratic race goes even more to Clinton. Based on the second choice of Gore's supporters, Clinton picks up five more points, compared with one more for Obama and three more for Edwards. Among Republicans, Giuliani's lead in Florida has narrowed since he held a 17-point margin over Thompson in early June. In the latest survey, the two split the white Evangelical vote, among the GOP's most loyal voters.

------

The telephone poll, by Quinnipiac University, was conducted June 18 to 25. Its survey of 359 Florida Democrats and 373 Republicans had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points for each.

------

COMPLETE RESULTS: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml

May 22, 2007

Rudy Giuliani Says He Can Compete in Blue States

Rudy Giuliani campaigned Tuesday for a second straight day across New York with a message aimed obviously at Republicans outside his home state: I can battle them for the blues.

The "them" is, of course, the Democrats who have been making much of picking up a red state or two and winning back the White House, perhaps riding there with Giuliani's home-state rival, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton. Giuliani pledges to take the battle against the Democrats to the blue states.

Read the full article.

May 16, 2007

Clinton, Giuliani Ahead in Ohio

In head-to-head matchups, former New York Mayor Giuliani and Clinton, a New York senator and former first lady, are about even in Ohio.

For more on this, click HERE.